Methodology

What this page covers

This page explains, in plain words, how ALPHAVYN signals are produced, how the pair analyzer and the free calculators work, where the data comes from, and what their limits are. We keep the exact model settings private, but we want you to understand what you are looking at.

How signals are produced

A rule-based model regularly scores a list of liquid USDT pairs. For each pair it looks at four groups of evidence on more than one timeframe:

• Trend: the direction of the bigger move.
• Momentum: whether the recent move is gaining or losing strength.
• Volume: whether trading activity supports the move.
• Market structure: how price behaves around key highs, lows, support and resistance.

Futures signals also take additional market data into account. The results are combined into a score from 0 to 100. A pair becomes a signal only when its score clears our threshold and further checks pass, which is why some days have few or no new signals.

What a signal contains

• The pair, the market and the direction: spot signals are long only (you buy the coin); futures signals can be long or short and carry extra risks, including liquidation.
• The score.
• An entry price, a stop loss and two take-profit targets (TP1 and TP2), set when the signal is created.
• A model size: Full means the calculator uses all of the risk per trade you set; Half means it uses half, for setups the model rates as less strong. Some signals use a split entry: one leg at once, a second leg as a limit order at a better price, each with its own levels.
• A status that updates automatically. Signals leave the open list when they close.
• Plain numbers under each level: the price move from entry in percent (without leverage) and the reward to risk of each target (1:X, before fees). For futures, an estimate of the leverage level above which liquidation would come before the stop loss, shown as a warning, not a suggestion.
• A live price on each card, downloaded by your browser from public market data, with a note if the price has already moved beyond TP1 or the stop loss.

Same signals, same time, for everyone

• Signals appear on the website for everyone at the same time, as soon as they are created. Email and Telegram alerts are sent right after.
• The ALPHAVYN team does not trade ahead of published signals.
• Team members may hold or trade crypto assets.
• We do not accept payment to publish or promote any coin.

The pair analyzer

The pair analyzer is a simplified, single-moment version of the scoring, offered as a research aid. Your browser downloads recent 1-hour and 4-hour price data for the pair from public market data, and our server calculates trend, momentum, volume and structure readings, the nearest support and resistance, and a quick-check score. It does not include all the data and checks used for published signals, so a high analyzer score is not a signal.

The free calculators

The calculators use standard, published formulas, shown on each tool's page with a worked example. We test each one against hand-calculated examples.

• Position size: (account × risk %) ÷ distance from entry to stop loss.
• Risk/reward: reward ÷ risk; breakeven win rate = risk ÷ (risk + reward).
• Profit: price change × coins, minus fees on entry and exit.
• DCA and what if I invested: real daily closing prices downloaded by your browser from public market data.
• Average price: total spent ÷ total coins.
• Chart analysis: raw candles and volume from public market data, with tools and settings you choose. It is not part of the signal model.
• Liquidation: a simplified isolated-margin estimate. Exchanges use their own rules, so the real level can be closer.

Where the data comes from

Prices, candles and volumes come from the public market data of major cryptocurrency exchanges. Data can occasionally be delayed, missing or wrong, and markets can move faster than any update. Your browser fetches the data for the analyzer and the historical calculators directly, so your request goes to those public services (see our Privacy Policy).

Limits and what we do not claim

• Signals can be wrong, and several in a row can lose. Past results do not predict future results.
• Real fills can differ from signal levels because of fees, spreads, slippage and fast markets.
• We do not publish profit screenshots, win-rate claims or guaranteed returns.
• We do not recommend using leverage, and no signal tells you to use it.
• Nothing here is personal financial advice.

Please read the Risk Disclosure.

Changes

We improve the model and the tools over time. When something on this page changes in a meaningful way, we update it. Questions: see Contact.